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QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF WATER SCARCITY ON THE ECONOMY
Sarvar Mamasoliyev

This study used econometric panel models to examine the influence of water shortage on economic growth in Central Asian countries. To evaluate long-term panel data, we used a pooled regression model, a fixed effect model, and a random effect model on annual data from 1990 to 2023 across five nations. After creating the models, we ran diagnostic tests using several statistical techniques. After analyzing the models listed above, we determined that the Pooled regression model is best suited to our panel data. Based on the indicators of this model, it was discovered that increased water shortage in Central Asian countries had a negative impact on economic growth. Each unit increase in water scarcity causes a 0.0166 unit loss in GDP. The findings suggest that countries experiencing severe water scarcity should prioritize water resource management and establish a water conservation program that includes the construction of infrastructure to alleviate the shortage.

02/27/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
70-82 106 108
DEVELOPING STUDENT TOURISM IN CENTRAL ASIA: EUROPEAN UNION EXPERIENCE AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
Nilufar Axrorova

This article presents a comprehensive analysis of student mobility and tourism flows in Central Asia, drawing on the experience of the European Union. The economic impact of student flows is assessed through empirical analysis, which confirms the long‑term economic efficiency of the “student‑tourist” synergy. Based on these findings, the study proposes a new integrative framework for the Central Asian states—the Silk Road Student Mobility Program. The model merges a digital platform, an integration network and financial instruments to create a unified regional ecosystem for student mobility. The paper offers science‑based, practical recommendations aimed at boosting the economic contribution of student tourism and deepening regional integration across Central Asia.

08/29/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
12-24 241 0
ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH OF THE REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN IN RECENT YEARS AND ITS PRINCIPLES
Jasurbek Xolmurzayev

This article analyzes the economic growth of Uzbekistan in the 21st century. During the research, key macroeconomic indicators such as the growth rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the level of inflation, the volume of investments, and labor productivity were examined. The obtained results were compared with scientific theories of economic growth, particularly the Solow economic growth model and other modern economic approaches. In addition, the factors influencing the sustainable development of Uzbekistan’s economy were identified, existing problems and future development paths were discussed, and certain economic indicators for the next 3–4 years were forecasted. The results of the article serve to evaluate the country’s economic policy and to draw scientifically grounded conclusions.

04/30/2026
  • PDF (Uzbek)
325-334 53 58
TAX BENEFITS AND SUBSIDIES IN THE HOTEL INDUSTRY OF UZBEKISTAN AND SOUTH KOREA: ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS
Asilbek Tohirov

This scientific study is devoted to a comparative analysis of the economic efficiency of tax incentives and subsidy policies in the development of the hotel industry in Uzbekistan and South Korea. The work comprehensively studies the methods of financial stimulation of the hotel sector, their impact on investment attractiveness and regional economic 


growth based on the experience of the two countries. The main objective of the study is to determine the effectiveness of economic instruments that support the development of the hotel industry, in particular, through tax incentives and state subsidies. At the same time, the practical results of public-private partnership mechanisms are also evaluated based on empirical evidence. During the study, the relative advantages of the effectiveness of financial approaches used in Uzbekistan and South Korea are determined; The impact of tax and subsidy policies on reducing interregional disparities and increasing tourism potential is assessed; An incentive model adapted for Uzbekistan, based on international best practices, is developed. This study is of practical and theoretical importance for economists, analysts, tourism decision-makers, investment policymakers, as well as postgraduate researchers. The study not only highlights existing economic and institutional problems, but also puts forward scientifically based proposals for their solution. Therefore, this work serves as a reliable source for creating a sustainable tourism policy. The scientific novelty of the study is the first systematic comparative analysis of the practice of applying tax incentives and subsidies in the hotel industry of Uzbekistan and South Korea. This work identifies the impact of tax incentives on criteria such as investment activity, regional development, and service quality. In addition, an incentive model adapted to national conditions and focused on economic efficiency was developed, and practical recommendations were given for the development of tourism infrastructure based on public-private partnerships.

09/29/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
244-255 98 96
ANALYZING INVESTMENT IN FIXED ASSETS UTILYSING DYNAMIC MODELS IN FERGANA REGION
Shoxistaxon Oxunova , Farhod Askarov

This article provides an analysis of the Almon lag model based on statistical data from the Fergana Region. The model facilitates the study of relationships between variables over time by accounting for distributed lag effects. Using the available data, the research examines the dynamics of key factors in the Fergana Region and identifies the optimal lag structure. The results enhance the understanding of the region's economic dynamics and offer valuable insights for policymakers and researchers alike.

12/27/2024
  • PDF
17-23 119 56
IDENTIFYING THE OPTIMAL INFLATION POLICY FOR SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH IN UZBEKISTAN
Sarvar Sarvar, Piratdin Allayarov

Knowledge of optimal monetary policy and frequently the rules of optimization in flexible inflation targeting assign central banks the task of developing all types of cyclical policies. The goal of optimal inflation policy is to achieve macroeconomic stability and stimulate sustainable economic growth. To determine the amount of monetary policy associated with the rule of monetary policy and to establish the proposed optimal inflation target, we use the DSGE econometric model. The relationship between r (refinancing rate) and the optimal inflation target has a downward slope. Although the growth of the optimal inflation level is smaller than the decrease in r, it has been found that in areas with current empirical significance, the slope of the relationship is close to -1. This angle parameter is sufficient to ensure uncertainty. It was found that in strategies such as price level setting and their diversity, the optimal inflation target is significantly lower and less sensitive to r."*

08/30/2024
  • PDF (Uzbek)
71-80 197 64
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DEVELOPMENT MODELS OF NATIONAL ECONOMIES
Mehri Vokhidova

This article provides a comparative analysis of the economic development models of Scandinavian countries. Examples of countries such as Norway, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, and Iceland, which combine innovative economies with high taxes, are discussed in the context of their resilience to economic crises. These nations occupy top positions in authoritative global rankings, reflecting the success of their economic policies. The article examines the distinctive features of the Scandinavian economic models based on principles of social justice. Additionally, it analyzes the economic and social policies of each country and evaluates their effectiveness.

07/31/2024
  • PDF (Russian)
270-278 174 181
SEGMENTAL BUSINESS MODEL OF CLUSTERING IN THE DIGITALIZED ECONOMY
Olimjon Abdullayev

The article examines the business principles of regional district clustering in the context of the digital economy. Due to the impact of digitalization on economic clustering, the possible directions of increasing the efficiency of joint business are theoretically illuminated. The algorithm for creating an initial set of all possible routes to increase the efficiency of joint business carried out within the framework of clustering is studied in stages. Additional requirements for building an effective joint business are mentioned

06/30/2024
  • PDF (Uzbek)
9-16 198 101
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTIVE USE OF INVESTMENTS IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE REPUBLIC'S ECONOMY
Abdulla Almuradov , Aziza Asrorova

This paper comprehensively examines the theoretical and practical aspects of the efficient use of investments in the development of the national economy based on an econometric approach. The study utilizes macroeconomic data for the period 2000–2024 to conduct an in-depth analysis of the impact of investment volume, employment level, and export volume on Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The methodological framework includes correlation analysis, construction of a multiple regression model, evaluation of parameter significance using t-statistics, assessment of overall model adequacy through the F-test, and testing for autocorrelation using the Durbin–Watson statistic. All econometric computations and model estimations were carried out using the modern statistical software environment R Studio. The empirical results demonstrate that investments have a strong positive and statistically significant effect on economic growth, as measured by GDP. Based on the findings, a set of practical recommendations has been developed aimed at improving the efficiency of investment utilization, optimizing their allocation across economic sectors, and enhancing investment policy.

04/30/2026
  • PDF (Uzbek)
43-51 37 26
THE SIGNIFICANCE OF INVESTMENT FLOW IN MANAGING EQUILIBRIUM IN A SELF ORGANIZING TRADING SYSTEM
Ulmas Abdullaev

This article analyzes the significance of investment flow in managing the equilibrium state within a self-organizing trading system. The research examines the impact of investment flow on economic systems, its various forms, and its influence on the dynamics of the trading system. Additionally, continuous and discrete factors affecting the system are classified, and a model is developed using a stochastic differential equation. A methodology for determining the optimal value of investment flow is proposed based on the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation. The results obtained are of great importance for forecasting economic systems, optimal resource allocation, and the development of market strategies.

04/30/2026
  • PDF (Uzbek)
15-22 48 42
STRATEGIC ALLIANCE MODEL OF ORGANIZING JOINT BUSINESS BETWEEN ECONOMIC SUBJECTS
Olimjon Abdullayev

The article shows the model of joint business organization between economic entities and the basics of clustering processes. It is justified that clustering has a significant impact on the development of economic entities in the organization of business. Theoretical knowledge of joint business organization between economic entities is given.

04/30/2024
  • PDF (Uzbek)
12-16 183 124
MODEL OF INVESTMENT BEHAVIOR OF ECONOMIC SUBJECTS IN THE THEORY OF J.M. KEYNES
Farrukh Salamov

This article analyzes the behavior of business entities in the investment process in the economic theory of Dj. M. Keynes. The article examines the role of predel efficiency, interest rates and uncertainty as key factors in investment decisions. It also explains how economic activity can increase as a result of initial investment through the Keynesian multiplier model. With the help of modern economic research and criticism, the Keynesian theory will be reviewed more broadly and its adaptation to new conditions will be analyzed.

06/30/2024
  • PDF (Russian)
418-421 270 57
"MODEL OF INVESTMENT BEHAVIOR OF ECONOMIC ENTITIES" IN KEYNES'S THEORY
Farrux Salamov

The article is devoted to the behavior of economic entities in the investment process in the theory of Keynes. In modern conditions of the formation of the information paradigm of socio-economic development, there is a growing interest in the issues of implementing the investment process, which is due, on the one hand, to the transition of all technological systems and complexes from the analog to the digital sphere, and on the other, to the need to stimulate investment of economic entities in order to create a basis for sustainable economic growth.

03/28/2025
  • PDF (Russian)
189-192 121 65
ASSESSMENT OF BUSINESS VALUE IN UZBEKISTAN’S OIL AND GAS SECTOR THROUGH DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION OF A LINEAR REGRESSION MODEL
Madina Abdullaeva, Lolita Yuldasheva

This article discusses the development of a linear regression model for assessing business value in the oil and gas sector of Uzbekistan. The model integrates key economic and operational variables, such as global oil and gas prices, political stability, macroeconomic indicators, sales volumes, and others, including EBITDA and debt level. The study focuses on the statistical significance of variables and their impact on market value, thus providing a basis for strategic management and planning in the industry.

12/27/2024
  • PDF
9-16 168 119
MODELS OF THE INVESTMENT PROCESS AND THEIR ROLE IN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Bozor Tuxliyev

The article examines the concept of "investment processes". Definitions and opinions of leading scientists in this field are given to the concept of "investment processes". This is the difference between investment processes and investment activities. The main components of investment processes and their content are expressed. The article also analyzes several models of investment processes based on the experience of economic development of countries in accordance with world practice. Based on the analysis provided, appropriate conclusions and proposals are made.

11/29/2024
  • PDF (Uzbek)
326-331 151 68
THE IMPACT OF THE INCREASE IN THE VOLUME OF FREIGHT TURNOVER ON THE RAILWAYS ON EXPORTS
Mehri Vokhidova

Purpose: This study aims to investigate the intricate relationship between the volume of exports (Y) and freight turnover on railways (X) through a paired linear regression model. The purpose is to discern the quantitative impact of railway freight turnover on a nation's export volumes and offer insights for policymakers and stakeholders in the transportation and trade sectors. Design/Methodology/Approach: A quantitative research design is employed, utilizing historical data spanning from 2000 to 2022. The chosen methodology involves the estimation of a paired linear regression model using the method of least squares. Statistical significance is tested through the coefficient of determination, Fisher's F-test, and an examination of heteroskedasticity. Elasticity analysis, rank correlation, and graphical assessments of residuals provide a comprehensive understanding of the relationship. Findings: The research reveals a strong and statistically significant positive correlation (r = 0.92) between export volumes and railway freight turnover. The regression model, validated through multiple tests, explains 84.72% of the variability in export volumes. Economic interpretation indicates that a one-unit increase in railway freight turnover leads to a substantial average increase of 1627720.728 units in export volumes. The absence of heteroskedasticity reinforces the robustness of the model.

03/30/2024
  • PDF
157-166 159 137
A MODEL FOR ASSESSING THE ECONOMIC EFFECTIVENESS OF DIGITAL DISTANCE LEARNING PLATFORMS BASED ON COST, STUDENT ENGAGEMENT AND EDUCATIONAL QUALITY INDICATORS
Rustam Yaxshiboyev

Over the past decade, digital distance learning platforms have become a key element of the global education services market, which reached approximately USD 369.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to exceed USD 731.8 billion by 2034. The article proposes an analytical model for assessing the economic effectiveness of distance learning platforms, taking into account three groups of indicators: costs (licensing, infrastructure, content, and support); student engagement (user activity, time on platform, course completion rate); and the quality of educational services (satisfaction, academic performance, career outcomes). A comparative economic analysis is conducted based on data from Coursera, edX, Udemy, LinkedIn Learning, and Khan Academy for 2023–2024. It is shown that the introduction of digital platforms enables educational institutions to reduce operating costs by 20–35% while simultaneously increasing the accessibility of education. The findings are applicable for managing the quality and financial sustainability of educational programs in the Republic of Uzbekistan.

05/25/2026
  • PDF (Russian)
244-252 33 16
THE IMPACT OF EXPORT AND IMPORT ON THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THE ORGANIZATIONAL AND ECONOMIC MECHANISM IN CHILDREN’S TOY MANUFACTURING
Anvarkhon Aminov

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the impact of export and import processes on the effectiveness of the organizational and economic mechanism in children’s toy manufacturing. The study applies the PESTLE analysis method to assess the influence of external environment factors. In addition, an integrated index model is proposed to evaluate the efficiency of the organizational and economic mechanism. The results demonstrate that economic and technological factors have the greatest impact, while social and environmental aspects play a significant role in strategic development. The article concludes with practical recommendations aimed at enhancing efficiency in the sector and ensuring the competitiveness of domestic producers in the international market.

09/29/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
361-367 75 58
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND SELECTED ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN CASE OF ITALY
Xurshid Amirov, Azizbek Bafoyev, Bahodir Durdimurodov, Rukhiddin Zayniddinov

In this article, we measure the economic development of Italy and examine the factors that will influence it. For the research purposes we have selected several factors that have a great impact on economic growth. We take GDP per capita as a measure of a country's economic development. The purpose of this study is to examine the dynamic and long-term relationships between variables and GDP per capita.

11/30/2023
  • PDF
21-31 265 151
"SAIKHUNABAD EXPERIENCE" – AN ORGANIZATIONAL AND ECONOMIC MODEL OF INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF NEIGHBORHOODS
Bazarbay Berkinov

In Uzbekistan, the mahalla system is a small area that functions as a body of self-government of citizens. The article analyzes the criteria and factors associated with the comprehensive, broad (inclusive) development of this system. Based on the study of the experience of the Saikhunabad district, an organizational and economic model of inclusive development of the mahalla was formed.

03/28/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
275-283 152 89
THE ROLE OF SMALL BUSINESS IN REGIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY USING STATA
Aziza Fayziyeva

This study analyzes the impact of small business entities’ activities on regional economic indicators using statistical and econometric methods. The Stata software was employed for empirical calculations, providing an opportunity to assess the influence of small business on regional economic growth. The results of this approach have practical significance for improving mechanisms to support small businesses in the regional economy.

09/29/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
92-97 149 51
DIRECTIONS FOR DEVELOPING NATIONAL ACCOUNTING SYSTEMS IN ACCORDANCE WITH INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS: IFRS, CAS OR AAOIFI
Baxtiyor Qlichev
This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the directions for developing the national accounting system based on international standards. In particular, a comparative study is conducted on the theoretical foundations, application features, and impact of IFRS, CAS, and AAOIFI on national accounting practices. The study systematizes scholarly perspectives on the adoption of international standards from economic, institutional, and geo-economic viewpoints.

Furthermore, the paper demonstrates that the current accounting system of Uzbekistan represents a hybrid model combining elements of different international frameworks. It is argued that the transition to international standards should not be viewed as a one-dimensional reform but rather as a complex transformation incorporating economic, strategic, and social factors. Based on this approach, the study develops theoretical and practical recommendations aimed at improving the national accounting system, including alignment with key trading partners, strengthening regional integration, and incorporating Islamic finance principles.

04/30/2026
  • PDF (Uzbek)
179-191 146 89
INSTITUTIONAL AND ECONOMIC FOUNDATIONS FOR IMPROVING THE SYSTEM OF COMMUNICATION AND INFORMATIZATION SERVICE PROVISION TO THE POPULATION
Feruz Nasrullayev

This article examines the issues of improving the system of communication service provision to the population from institutional and economic perspectives. The study provides a theoretical substantiation of governance mechanisms, regulatory instruments, and factors determining the efficiency of the communication services market. Within the framework of the empirical analysis, official statistical data are employed to explore the relationships between service coverage, intensity of use, and regional economic indicators. The findings demonstrate that the sustainable development of the communication services system is directly dependent on the effectiveness of the institutional environment. The article proposes a model of institutional improvement aimed at aligning state regulatory policy, investment balance, and competitive market conditions. The results of the study provide a foundation for the development of scientifically grounded practical solutions focused on advancing communication services and enhancing sectoral governance efficiency.

02/27/2026
  • PDF (Uzbek)
159-167 66 47
GENERATIVE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN ECONOMIC SECTORS: ASSESSING IMPLEMENTATION EFFICIENCY AND ENSURING TECHNOLOGICAL SECURITY
Durdona Abdukaxxorova

This article examines the role of generative artificial intelligence in the digital transformation of economic sectors, with a particular focus on assessing implementation efficiency and ensuring technological security. The study argues that generative AI is becoming a strategic tool for improving productivity, operational speed, decision-making quality, and innovation capacity across manufacturing, finance, logistics, public administration, and other sectors. At the same time, the article emphasizes that the benefits of generative AI are accompanied by serious technological risks, including data leakage, model misuse, privacy violations, unreliable outputs, and cybersecurity vulnerabilities. The research is based on a qualitative comparative analysis of recent open-access academic and institutional sources, including OECD, World Bank, NIST, and sector-specific studies. The findings show that the effectiveness of generative AI should be evaluated through a dual framework that combines economic performance indicators with technological security criteria. The article concludes that sustainable implementation requires not only digital infrastructure and organizational adaptation, but also strong governance mechanisms, human oversight, and continuous risk monitoring.

04/30/2026
  • PDF
9-14 54 53
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS OF DEVELOPMENT OF TRADE SERVICES
Zokir Artikov

This article analyzes the strategic directions for the development of trade services. In the modern economic environment, trade services play a crucial role not only in ensuring economic growth but also in shaping innovative business models. The research examines the key aspects of trade services, their economic efficiency, and future development prospects. Additionally, recommendations for modernizing trade services in Uzbekistan are proposed

04/30/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
23-29 183 100
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