The article provides a scientific analysis of the main factors influencing the emergence of crisis situations in commercial banks. It substantiates that a banking crisis is directly related to the quality of the loan portfolio, liquidity, capital adequacy, deposit stability, interest rate risk and currency risk. Based on statistical data on the banking system of Uzbekistan for 2024-2025, the article analyzes non-performing loans, assets, deposits and capital indicators. The findings show that assessing crisis risk in commercial banks should rely not on separate indicators, but on a comprehensive risk management approach
This study analyses historical data (2000–2024) to forecast Uzpromstroybank’s deposit base and total resource trends using simple OLS regression models. A linear time-trend model is estimated for both series to capture long-run growth. The regression results show strong, significant upward trends (high R², statistically significant coefficients) for deposits and resources, indicating robust growth. Forecasts generated by extrapolating these trends suggest continued expansion of the bank’s deposits and resources in the short term. The findings are relevant for bank management and policymakers, as they highlight the trajectory of funding sources in Uzbekistan’s banking sector. Limitations include the simplicity of the linear model and potential structural changes, nonetheless, the results provide a baseline projection and underline the importance of improving deposit mobilization and financial sector reforms.
This article is devoted to the analysis of the role of commercial banks of the Republic of Uzbekistan in the development of the national economy, in particular, in financing investment projects, increasing the level of employment, and implementing innovative technologies. It highlights the priority areas for the development of the banking system of such strategic documents as the "New Uzbekistan - 2030" program and the Development Strategy for 2022-2026. Also, an in-depth analysis of the main indicators of the banking system of Uzbekistan (assets, loans, capital, and deposits) was conducted. In particular, the differences between state-owned banks and other banks, their market share, and their impact on economic stability are shown based on statistical data. The analysis revealed that state-owned banks have a dominant position in the market, but other banks can compete almost equally in attracting deposits. Information on the lending activities of commercial banks and the volume of non-performing loans (NPL) was also presented, and the risks and effectiveness in this area were assessed
This article analyses the use of electronic money in Uzbekistan, as well as the factors influencing its development and the existing challenGES. Although the adoption of electronic payment instruments has significantly increased in recent years due to the growth of the digital economy, several constraints—including insufficient infrastructure, low digital literacy, and limited trust in the banking system—have been identified as slowing down this process. The study provides a comparative analysis of the experiences of Uzbekistan, Turkey, and Kazakhstan, and presents statistical data on chanGES in total bank deposits, the share of electronic money, and term deposits from 2017 to 2024. The findings indicate that despite the rise in the use of electronic money, its share within total bank funds has decreased. These trends are shown to be closely related to the development of digital infrastructure, security systems, digital literacy, and government regulatory policies. The author emphasizes the need to expand infrastructure, strengthen security measures, improve digital literacy, and enhance the legal framework to further promote the development of the electronic money market
This article examines the structure of resource bases and capital adequacy mechanisms in major international commercial banks, with a focus on JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo. The analysis reveals that deposits remain the primary source of funding, while long-term liabilities and shareholder equity play a crucial role in ensuring financial stability. The Basel Committee’s capital adequacy standards serve as an essential benchmark, enhancing banks’ capacity to absorb risks. The findings are of practical relevance for Uzbekistan’s banking sector in terms of diversifying resource bases, optimizing capital structure, and strengthening liquidity management.
This article analyzes the adequacy of commercial banks' deposit base, the factors affecting it, the alignment of maturities, interest rates, and volumes between bank deposits and loans, as well as the growth trends of deposits and loans. The causes of the transformation risk associated with bank deposits and credits have been examined. Furthermore, practical proposals and recommendations have been developed regarding existing problems in bank credit services and their solutions