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WAYS TO INCREASE THE LEVEL OF DIVERSIFICATION OF COMMERCIAL BANK FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES (ON THE EXAMPLE OF COMMERCIAL BANKS OF UZBEKISTAN)
Anvarjon Pardayev

This article is dedicated to a comprehensive study of the issues surrounding the diversification of foreign exchange reserves in commercial banks of Uzbekistan. Based on statistical data spanning from 2018 to 2024 and the financial statements of 12 commercial banks, the composition of currency portfolios, risk management mechanisms, and diversification strategies were analyzed. The research findings reveal that 73,4% of foreign exchange reserves in Uzbekistan's commercial banks are concentrated in US dollars, which is 2.5–3 times higher than international standards and significantly increases systemic currency risk. Based on the proposed "5-currency optimal diversification model", it was determined that there is a potential to increase the banks' Sharpe ratio by 96%, reduce maximum losses under stress testing scenarios by 6.3 percentage points, and lower the VaR (Value at Risk) indicator by 4.4 percentage points

06/11/2026
  • PDF (Uzbek)
497-507 5 5
THE IMPACT OF INTEREST RATES AND EXCHANGE RATES ON THE TRADE BALANCE (Evidence from Uzbekistan)
Mukhlisaxon Solijonova

This article examines the impact of interest rates and exchange rates on the trade balance using the case of Uzbekistan. The findings show that monetary policy instruments affect the trade balance differently in the short and long run. The study highlights the need to align monetary policy with trade and structural reforms

02/03/2026
  • PDF (Uzbek)
246-253 106 74
PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS OF DIGITALIZATION IN ACCOUNTING FOR FOREIGN EXCHANGE DIFFERENCES IN THE CONTEXT OF UZBEKISTAN
Kamoliddin Misrov , Sirozhbek Pulatov

This article analyzes the current challenges in accounting for foreign exchange differences in Uzbekistan and presents practical and methodological solutions based on digital transformation. The study emphasizes the importance of automating exchange rate updates, developing a methodology aligned with IFRS 21, and implementing an AI-based monitoring system to enhance accuracy, transparency, and compliance in financial reporting.

06/17/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
492-496 120 64
PRIORITY DIRECTIONS FOR ENSURING NATIONAL CURRENCY STABILITY WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE "UZBEKISTAN-2030" STRATEGY
Zilola Shamansurova, Ulugbek Urinboyev

This article outlines the set of legally-defined goals that constitute the "Uzbekistan - 2030" strategy. These goals include ensuring the stability of the national currency, increasing the income of the country’s population, ensuring the competitiveness of products manufactured within the country through a gradual transition to a market economy, increasing the volume of exports, localizing the production of imported goods, maintaining a moderate level of inflation, improving the living standards of our people, and placing our country among the "above-average income" states.
Unlike previously adopted strategies, this strategy has been adopted for the long term, and we can see that the current reforms are closely linked to the expected goals, as well as the growing year-on-year development of our country’s economy.

01/03/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
100-106 123 38
AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE STABILITY OF THE UZBEK SOUM RELATIVE TO THE CURRENCIES OF NEIGHBORING COUNTRIES
Muhriddin Homidov , Muhammadyor Abdulatifov

This article analyzes the stability of currencies, which has become one of the most important financial indicators in recent years. Taking the Uzbek soum as the base currency, the resilience of neighboring countries’ currencies in the exchange market is examined using a comparative method. Based on analyses using the Hill estimator and OLS log-log regression models, significant conclusions have been drawn.

04/23/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
707-717 191 63
FACTORS AFFECTING THE CRISIS IN COMMERCIAL BANKS
Muhammadsardor Moydinov

The article provides a scientific analysis of the main factors influencing the emergence of crisis situations in commercial banks. It substantiates that a banking crisis is directly related to the quality of the loan portfolio, liquidity, capital adequacy, deposit stability, interest rate risk and currency risk. Based on statistical data on the banking system of Uzbekistan for 2024-2025, the article analyzes non-performing loans, assets, deposits and capital indicators. The findings show that assessing crisis risk in commercial banks should rely not on separate indicators, but on a comprehensive risk management approach

06/08/2026
  • PDF (Uzbek)
388-394 13 5
INSTITUTIONAL PRESSURES, RISK GRADIENT, AND VALUE CO-CREATION: A STUDY ON CHINA’S TOURISM INVESTMENT ALLOCATION STRATEGIES FOR THE GLOBAL SOUTH
Zhibo Wei

Driven by geopolitical reconfigurations, tourism investment in the Global South is shifting from volume-based expansion to risk-centric decision-making. This study synthesizes institutional theory, the resource-based view, and the Social License to Operate (SLO) to assess this transition. Leveraging panel data from 18 Belt and Road countries (2019–2024), we construct an assessment system across three dimensions: institutional quality, macroeconomic stability, and developmental maturity. Using the entropy weight method, we identify a distinct risk gradient: Africa exhibits the highest risk intensity, followed by Central Asia and Central and Eastern Europe, with Southeast Asia being the most stable. Exchange rate volatility and political instability emerge as primary systemic drivers, though Southeast Asia shows consistent risk abatement. Finally, we operationalize a "risk-capability-strategy" framework, proposing differentiated regional allocation strategies to navigate the Global South’s evolving investment landscape

05/03/2026
  • PDF
521-531 28 28
ASSESSMENT OF UZBEKISTAN’S SOVEREIGN CREDIT RATING BASED ON S&P GLOBAL RATINGS ANALYSIS
Poziljon Mamadaliyev

This article analyzes the sovereign credit rating of the Republic of Uzbekistan based on the methodology applied by S&P Global Ratings. The study examines macroeconomic stability, fiscal discipline, public debt dynamics, external sector indicators, and gold-foreign exchange reserves as the key factors influencing rating formation. The results of the statistical data analysis show that high economic growth rates and the significant volume of reserves support the country’s credit rating. At the same time, the high share of external debt, the deficit of the balance of payments, and global risks remain important constraining factors for rating stability.

01/23/2026
  • PDF (Uzbek)
108-113 127 50
MECHANISMS FOR STUDYING THE DEVELOPMENT OF INFRASTRUCTURE IN THE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR
Azamat Eshmurodov

The article presents an econometric analysis of trends in the development of industrial infrastructure in the Kashkadarya region. Based on the parameters of the production function, which expresses the dependence of the volume of industrial production on the cost of fixed assets and the amount of labor resources, an econometric model was created, and the reliability of the model was assessed. The efficiency indicators of the model factors and forecasts of industrial production volumes were calculated, conclusions and proposals were made

12/20/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
602-607 84 48
IMPACT OF KEY MACROECONOMIC FACTORS ON THE PROFITABILITY OF BIG ORGANIZATIONS
Nargiza Kosimova

This research investigates the relationship between macroeconomic factors and profitability of companies, considering the company level factors of financial performance: gross margin, operating margin, EBITDA margin and ROA. Drawing upon the theoretical frameworks, empirical analyses and econometrical model, the study explores multifaceted dynamics of macroeconomic-firm nexus of the biggest 16 companies - drivers of modern US economy. Findings reveal significant relationships between macroeconomic factors such as exchange rate, inflation and corporate profit, highlighting company response to macro-level changes. Practical implications for financial managers are discussed, emphasizing the importance of considering macroeconomic conditions in decision making processes. Overall, this article contributes to the understanding of macroeconomic-firm nexus and provides insights, which should be further developed.

12/03/2025
  • PDF
325-328 103 56
TOURISM EXPORT PERFORMANCE: THEORETICAL INSIGHTS INTO FACTORS AND RISKS
Feruza Bekmurodova

Influencing on economic wellbeing of the countries, tourism export is growing at fast pace in most regions. Tourism export has become the main driver of the economy, enabling countries to increase employment opportunities and foreign exchange earnings. However, the sustainability and effectiveness of tourism export are determined by multiple factors and constrained by various risks. Factors show how countries should act in order to expand the tourism capasity, meanwhile tourism associated risks help to be careful in the global market. This article will analyze both, and gives author’s personal assumption about further development of the industry.

09/05/2025
  • PDF
526-532 118 161
ANALYSIS OF THE MARKET CONDITIONS OF TEXTILE PRODUCTS
Sevarakhon Abdullaeva

The products of the textile industry have a high level of value added, are favorable for foreign exchange income, form part of the income of the country's budget and are one of the sources of implementation of social programs. The industry also plays an important role in providing the population with jobs and income. Accordingly, based on the analysis of industry indicators, taking into account the place of the textile industry in the development of the country's economy, it is necessary to determine the majud, but unused opportunities in it.

07/15/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
985-990 114 52
CREDIT INTEREST RATES THAT ARE HARMING THE POPULATION
Dilnoza Murodova

The article presents the problems and situations in which loans and their interest rates are provided by commercial banks of the Republic of Uzbekistan, as well as the income of the population. The essence of the current legal acts on loans and the current content is revealed.

02/14/2025
  • PDF (Uzbek)
222-226 107 43
GLOBAL TOURISM EXPORT: IMPORTANCE AND CURRENT TREND IN POST-PANDEMIC ERA
Feruza Bekmurodova

Being the fastest growing economic industry, tourism became one of the key revenue producers for most countries. Tourism not only provides a significant source of income for business entities, but also impacts on employment and economic welfare both directly and indirectly. This paper explores the vital role tourism exports play in world trade, focusing on their contribution to GDP, foreign exchange earnings, and employment. It also examines pre and post pandemic situation in the industry globally, and considers the challenges and opportunities faced by the sector. The findings highlight tourism’s importance in driving economic growth and underscore the need for sustainable practices in the industry through PEST analysis.

01/03/2025
  • PDF
32-40 112 60
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